Saacadihii hore ee subaxnimadii Khamiista wakhtiga Beijing, kaydka federaalku wuxuu ku dhawaaqay xallinta heerka ribada ee Noofembar, isagoo go'aansaday inuu kor u qaado tirada bartilmaameedka ee heerka lacagta federaalka 75 dhibcood ilaa 3.75%-4.00%, oo ah tii afraad ee isku xigta oo fiiqan oo ah 75 heerka dhibcaha saldhiga kor u kaca tan iyo bishii Juun, iyadoo heerka dulsaarka markaas uu kor u kacayo heer cusub tan iyo Janaayo 2008. Guddoomiyaha Fed Jerome Powell ayaa shir jaraa'id oo xigay ku sheegay in xawliga kor u kaca kor u kaca laga yaabo in la yareeyo December, laakiin kor u kaca sicir-bararka muddada-gaaban. filashooyinka ayaa ah walaac, in ay degdeg tahay in la hakiyo sicirka sare u kaca, iyo in bartilmaameedka ugu dambeeya ee heerka siyaasadiisa uu ka sarreyn karo sidii hore la filayay.Wixii walaac ah ee ka baxsan khatarta hoos u dhaca, Powell wuxuu sheegay in inkasta oo uu aaminsan yahay in Fed "ay wali" ku guuleysan karto soo degis jilicsan, laakiin wadada ayaa "cidhiidhisay".Powell oo ku saabsan bartilmaameedka ugu dambeeya ee dulsaarka dulsaarka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu ka sarreeyo sidii la filayay iyo bayaanka niyad-jabka ah ee soo degista jilicsan ayaa noqday mid ka mid ah kiciyeyaasha dhamaadka quusitaanka ee kaydka Maraykanka, qiimaha dahabka caalamiga ah ayaa dib u soo laabtay, index dollar oo dib ugu soo laabtay calaamadda 112. , Wax-soo-saarka curaarta Maraykanka ayaa kor u kacay laba toddobaad oo sarreeya.

U kaalay si aad u aragto saameynta ay ku leedahay kor u kaca heerka kaydka federaalka ee suuqa suufka, sababtoo ah sicirka weyn ee kor u kaca ayaa horay loo sii dheefay, xallinta ayaa la sii daayay ka dib markii ay soo degtay diidmo, seddexdii qandaraas ee ugu horreeyay ee suuqa Mareykanka ayaa kor u kacay, qandaraasyo kale sidoo kale wuxuu u kacay heerar kala duwan.Dib u milicso shantii jeer ee sanadkan kor u kaca heerka dulsaarka badan ee la taaban karo, mustaqbalka suufka ICE iyo Zheng cudbi afar jeer ayaa kor u kacay, kuwaas oo suuqa shisheeye uu asal ahaan ka kacay in ka badan suuqa gudaha, halka kororka ugu weyn ee suuqa shisheeye tan ka dib. heerka sare u kaca, muddada New York waxay ahayd laba maalmood oo isku xigta oo ah xigashooyinka joojinta, kuwaas oo sii waday inay hoos ugu dhacaan 70 senti / pound qaybta hore ee suuqa, waxaana la filayaa inay hoos u dhigto xawaaraha dulsaarka dulsaarka ka dib Fed ee November , suuqa iibsigu hooseeyo ee suuqa iyo arrimo kale oo la xidhiidha kor u kaca heerka bisha June iyo qorshaha tapering ka dib markii suuqa hoos.Laga soo bilaabo sicir-bararka Fed-ka kadib muddo dheer oo isbeddel ah oo suuqa ah, marka lagu daro kor u kaca July ee dabagalka, inta kale ee qiimaha kala duwan ee kor u kaca ayaa noqday baahida suuqa ayaa la filayaa inay daciifto, qiimaha suufka ayaa sii wadi doona inuu hoos u dhaco sida ugu weyn. xoog wadida.

Kor u kaca heerkan Fed ayaa laga yaabaa inuu noqdo heerka ugu dambeeya ee heerka sare u kaca wareega hadda jira, laakiin heerka dhamaadka dulsaarka ayaa laga yaabaa inuu ka sarreeyo sidii la filayay.Sida laga soo xigtay Chicagoland CME Interest Rate Watch aalada, suuqu hadda waxa uu filayaa in heerka korodhka sicirka hadda uu kor u kaco bisha Maajo sanadka soo socda, iyada oo bartilmaameedka heerka dulsaarka ee 5.00%-5.25% iyo heerka dhexdhexaadka ah ee kor u kaca ilaa 5.08%.Fed wuxuu ka fogaan doonaa qaladka ah inuusan si ku filan u adkeyn ama ka bixin adkeynta si dhakhso ah.Odhaahyada taxanaha ah ee suuqa si loo sii daayo calaamaduhu waa: adkeynta inkasta oo ay jirto hoos u dhac, laakiin sidoo kale shaki kama qabin go'aankayaga kor u qaadista heerka dulsaarka.Sare u kaca saliidda cayriin iyo qiimaha cuntada ama isbeddelka xasilloon, sicir-bararka sare ee Maraykanka waa ay adag tahay in si weyn loo yareeyo muddada gaaban, halka Maraykanku uu keeni doono doorashooyinka xilliga dhexe ee bishan, sidaas darteed Fed ayaa sii wadi doona muuji go'aanka lagu dhimayo sicir-bararka, laakiin sidoo kale ma ogolaan karo xogta dhaqaale inay hoos u dhacdo xaaladda, taas oo sidoo kale noqon karta hadalka "labadaba dabacsan iyo cidhiidhi" ee beenta is burinaysa.Iyo saamaynta ay ku leedahay suuqa suufka, cadaadiska hoos u dhaca ayaa la filayaa inuu ka yaraado kor u kaca dulsaarka hore, laakiin guud ahaan heerka dulsaarka ayaa kor u kacaya, xaashida dheelitirka oo adkeynaysa, isticmaalka degaanka ayaa weli ah xakamaynta muddada dheer.Dowladda Mareykanka ayaa sidoo kale dhawaan ku dhawaaqday $4.5 bilyan oo gargaar ah si ay uga caawiso hoos u dhigida kharashaadka kuleyliyaha ee qoysaska Mareykanka jiilaalka iyo $9 bilyan oo ah maalgelinta gobolka ee laga helo sharciga dhimista sicir bararka si loo hagaajiyo waxtarka tamarta guriga si loogu guuleysto doorashada xilliga dhexe.Iyada oo lacagta dawladdu "jiidayso codadka," waxaa la filayaa in hoos u dhaca muddada gaaban la filayo in uu yara yareeyo, laakiin isbeddelka muddada fog waa adag tahay in la beddelo.
Isha wararka: Shabakadda Dharka